Matteo Martineau vs Yanki ErelSegovia Quarter-final

Segovia · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#335ATP
1417ELO
1398Hard ELO
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA PEDRO MUÑOZ · 2nd on
#299ATP
25 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWL
Martineau M.
6-4 6-4
Erel Y.
Martineau M.
662
Erel Y.
440

Matteo Martineau defeated Yanki Erel in the quarterfinals of the Segovia tournament, winning 6-4, 6-4 on hard courts. Martineau converted 75% of his break points and secured three service breaks, compared to Erel's one. Martineau and Erel were even in aces (1 each) and nearly even in double faults (2 for Martineau, 1 for Erel).

Key context

  • Match story: Matteo Martineau edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.2
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Martineau M.40%
Erel Y.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Erel Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
60

Martineau M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Erel Y.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw