Hugo Gaston vs Damir Dzumhur — Estoril Round of 32
FRA
Gaston H.
Hugo Gaston faces Damir Dzumhur in the Estoril round of 32 on clay. Damir Dzumhur holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Hugo Gaston comes in with 5 days of rest and 148 games in 14d, vs Damir Dzumhur's 1 and 173.
- Head-to-head: Damir Dzumhur leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Bastad 2025.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 6 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGaston H.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Dzumhur D.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 130 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-14 | Bastad | R16 | clay | Damir Dzumhur | 4-6 6-2 6-2 |