Damir Dzumhur vs Hugo GastonBastad Round of 16

Bastad · ATP · Round of 16
#108ATP
1638ELO
1594Clay ELO
$528kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 July 2025
clay
#107ATP
1622ELO
1566Clay ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Dzumhur D.
4-6 6-2 6-2
Gaston H.
Dzumhur D.
4662
Gaston H.
6221

Damir Dzumhur defeated Hugo Gaston 4-6 6-2 6-2 in the Bastad round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Hugo Gaston came in ranked #107.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Dzumhur D.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Gaston H.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Dzumhur D.Gaston H.
0
Serve
58
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
70
74
Break points saved·Even
87
91
Break points won·Slight edge
64
57
Deciding sets·Even
80
78
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
70
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+28 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1566
4.9Overall Elo 1638
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1622
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
3.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
7.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
82
44

Dzumhur D.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d) · Gaston H.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 128 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 69%