Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignon — Gstaad
Tsitsipas S.
Stefanos Tsitsipas faces Raphael Collignon in the Gstaad match on clay. Raphael Collignon holds the paper edge — ranked #42. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Stefanos Tsitsipas leads on Serve Rating (54), Raphael Collignon on Return Rating (31).
- Last match: Raphael Collignon dropped the opening set before beating Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1–6 7–6 7–5.
- Fatigue load: Both played three three-setters in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTsitsipas S.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 83 games (7d) · Collignon R.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.