Martina Trevisan vs Francesca Jones — Rome Semi-final
Trevisan M.
Martina Trevisan faces Francesca Jones in the Rome semi-final on clay. Francesca Jones holds the paper edge — ranked #123, a roughly 170-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Jones F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Martina Trevisan comes in with 1 days of rest and 35 games in 14d, vs Francesca Jones's 2 and 94.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Francesca Jones has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 76 vs 32).
- Last match: Martina Trevisan dropped the opening set before beating Elizara Yaneva 4–6 6–2 6–2.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTrevisan M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Jones F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.