Taro Daniel vs Juan Carlos Prado AngeloEstoril Qualifying Semi-final

Estoril · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#194ATP
1567ELO
1542Clay ELO
$64kYTD
$5.1MCAREER
33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 2 · 1st on
#173ATP
1576ELO
1554Clay ELO
$166kYTD
$323kCAREER
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLWW
Daniel T.
6-4 6-2
Prado Angelo J.
Daniel T.
662
Prado Angelo J.
420

Taro Daniel defeated Juan Carlos Prado Angelo in the semifinals of the Estoril tournament, winning 6-4, 6-2 on clay. Daniel converted 57% of his break points and secured four service breaks, compared to Prado Angelo's one. Daniel also had an 81% first-serve win percentage, while Prado Angelo had 64%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
45
Break points saved·Dominant
70
40
Break points won·Slight edge
21
30
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Daniel T.40%
Prado Angelo J.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Prado Angelo J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1542
Surface ELO
5.1+12 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1576
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.38 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
70
72

Daniel T.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Prado Angelo J.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 83 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw