Kyrian Jacquet vs Taro Daniel — Estoril Qualifying Final
FRA2
JPN
Jacquet K.
Kyrian Jacquet faces Taro Daniel in the Estoril qualifying final on clay. Kyrian Jacquet holds the paper edge — ranked #130, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Jacquet K. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Kyrian Jacquet 17 games in 14 days, Taro Daniel 122.
- Under pressure: Kyrian Jacquet has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 47 vs Taro Daniel's 3).
- Last match: Kyrian Jacquet dropped just 3 games past G. Da Rosa Castro.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadJacquet K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Daniel T.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Q1 | clay | Kyrian Jacquet | 6-1 6-4 |