Yibing Wu vs Bu YunchaoketeLincoln Round of 16

Lincoln · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#118ATP
1743ELO
1741Hard ELO
$477kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#120ATP
1709ELO
1644Hard ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
Wu Y.
4-6 4-6
Yunchaokete B.
Wu Y.
440
Yunchaokete B.
662

Bu Yunchaokete defeated Yibing Wu in the Round of 16 at the Lincoln hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-4 in favor of Bu Yunchaokete.

Key context

  • Match story: Bu Yunchaokete edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
58%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
59%
72%
Aces / match·Even
4.5
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
71
3
Break points saved·Even
92
92
Break points won·Dominant
39
8
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
0
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Wu Y.58%
Yunchaokete B.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Wu Y. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+97 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1644
5.4Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1709
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
80

Wu Y.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Yunchaokete B.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw