Elizara Yaneva vs Martina Trevisan — Rome Quarter-final
Yaneva E.
Elizara Yaneva faces Martina Trevisan in the Rome quarter-final on clay. Elizara Yaneva holds the paper edge — ranked #196, a roughly 50-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Yaneva E. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Elizara Yaneva 38 games in 14 days, Martina Trevisan 15.
- Win streak: Elizara Yaneva arrives on a 3-match winning run.
- Surface form: Both 5 of 9 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadYaneva E.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Trevisan M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.