Chris Rodesch vs Oliver CrawfordPozoblanco Quarter-final

Pozoblanco · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#191ATP
1622ELO
1623Hard ELO
$163kYTD
$424kCAREER
24 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLLLWW
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
hard
#235ATP
1444ELO
1413Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWLWL
Rodesch C.
vs
Crawford O.

Chris Rodesch faces Oliver Crawford in the Pozoblanco quarter-final on hard. Chris Rodesch holds the paper edge — ranked #191, a roughly 210-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC
Rodesch C.85%
Crawford O.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Rodesch C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+211 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1412
7.2Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1444
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rodesch C.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Crawford O.

Crawford O.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rodesch C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
12
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
64
Break points won·Clear edge
5
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
84
19
Tiebreaks·Dominant
77
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
88

Rodesch C.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Crawford O.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
36°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 15%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.