Dan Added vs Ilya Ivashka — Pozoblanco Quarter-final
Added D.
Dan Added faces Ilya Ivashka in the Pozoblanco quarter-final on hard. Dan Added is the paper favourite — ranked #243 — but Ilya Ivashka rides a 4-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Ivashka I. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Dan Added comes in with 2 days of rest and 23 games in 14d, vs Ilya Ivashka's 2 and 51.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Ilya Ivashka has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 53 vs 22).
- Last match: Ilya Ivashka handed Aziz Ouakaa a second-set bagel in a 6–1 6–0 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadAdded D.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Ivashka I.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.