Anastasia Zakharova vs Alexandra ShubladzeIstanbul 2 Round of 16

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#101WTA
1742ELO
1714Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWWLLLL
Sets
Wednesday, 15 July 2026 ·
hard
#188WTA
1515ELO
1497Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10
WLLWWWWWWW
Zakharova A.
vs
Shubladze A.

Anastasia Zakharova faces Alexandra Shubladze in the Istanbul 2 round of 16 on hard. Anastasia Zakharova holds the paper edge — ranked #101, a roughly 220-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Zakharova A.88%
Shubladze A.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zakharova A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.7+217 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1497
4.8Overall Elo 1742
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1514
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.08 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.69 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

32 vs 46 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
54%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.9
0.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 46). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zakharova A.serving36% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Shubladze A.

Shubladze A.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Zakharova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zakharova A.Shubladze A.
19
Serve
48
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Zakharova A.: 15 days rest · Shubladze A.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
29°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 42%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.