Anastasia Zakharova vs Tatiana ProzorovaIstanbul 2 Quarter-final

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#101WTA
1742ELO
1714Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWWWLLL
Sets
Friday, 17 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT A · 1st on
#163WTA
1674ELO
1659Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10
WWLWLWWLWL
Zakharova A.
vs
Prozorova T.

Anastasia Zakharova faces Tatiana Prozorova in the Istanbul 2 quarter-final on hard. Anastasia Zakharova holds the paper edge — ranked #101, a roughly 60-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Zakharova A.67%
Prozorova T.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zakharova A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.7+55 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1659
5.0Overall Elo 1742
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1674
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
8.48 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.28 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

32 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
3.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Zakharova A.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Prozorova T.

Prozorova T.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Zakharova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
74
Break points saved·Dominant
47
81
Break points won·Slight edge
87
97
Deciding sets·Even
71
68
Tiebreaks·
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on hard

Zakharova A.Prozorova T.
19
Serve
48
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
81
92

Zakharova A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Prozorova T.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on COURT A · not before Starting at 3:00 PM · up next on court

  1. 1Zakharova A. v Prozorova T.This match
  2. 2Valdmannova V. v Falei A.

Conditions

Weather forecast
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.