Federico Agustin Gomez vs Matteo Arnaldi — Umag Round of 16
ITA4
Gomez F.
Matteo Arnaldi defeated Federico Agustin Gomez in the Round of 16 at the Umag tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 5-7, 6-3. Arnaldi hit 7 aces and 1 double fault, while Gomez hit 3 aces and 6 double faults. Arnaldi won the match with 4 service breaks to Gomez's 2.
Key context
- Match story: Matteo Arnaldi closed it out in three sets, 6–3 5–7 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Arnaldi M. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadGomez F.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 102 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About