Nuria Brancaccio vs Jessica PieriRome Round of 32

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#209WTA
1494ELO
1486Clay ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
#332WTA
1327ELO
1325Clay ELO
29 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLWL
Brancaccio N.
6-2 6-2
Pieri J.
Brancaccio N.
662
Pieri J.
220

Nuria Brancaccio defeated Jessica Pieri in the Round of 32 at the Rome tournament, winning 6-2, 6-2 on clay. Brancaccio hit 3 aces and did not commit a double fault, while converting 50% of her break points and winning 78% of her first-serve points. Brancaccio won 3 service breaks to Pieri's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
54%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Service points won·Even
54%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Brancaccio N.86%
Pieri J.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Brancaccio N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+161 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1325
7.1Overall Elo 1494
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1327
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.42 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.53 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
92

Brancaccio N.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 31 games (7d) · Pieri J.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
32°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw