Nuria Brancaccio vs Eva Vedder — Rome Round of 16
Brancaccio N.
Nuria Brancaccio faces Eva Vedder in the Rome round of 16 on clay. Eva Vedder holds the paper edge — ranked #179.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Vedder E. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Eva Vedder has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 44 vs 12).
- Last match: Nuria Brancaccio dropped just 4 games past Jessica Pieri.
- Surface form: Nuria Brancaccio 3 of 8, Eva Vedder 5 of 8 on clay recently — Eva Vedder the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.