Polona Hercog vs Dalila JakupovicKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#228WTA
1590ELO
1574Clay ELO
35 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
#357WTA
1388ELO
1353Clay ELO
35 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLWW
Hercog P.
6-2 2-6 6-4
Jakupovic D.
Hercog P.
6262
Jakupovic D.
2641

Polona Hercog defeated Dalila Jakupovic in the Round of 32 at the Kitzbuhel tournament on clay, winning 6-2, 2-6, 6-4. Hercog served 3 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Jakupovic had 0 aces and 3 double faults. Hercog won 66% of her first-serve points and converted 56% of her break points, ultimately securing 5 service breaks to Jakupovic's 4.

Key context

  • Match story: Polona Hercog closed it out in three sets, 6–2 2–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
49%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
6
16
Break points saved·Clear edge
21
5
Break points won·Slight edge
61
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
39
Tiebreaks·Dominant
2
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Hercog P.87%
Jakupovic D.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Hercog P. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.8+221 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Clay Elo 1353
7.5Overall Elo 1590
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1388
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
83

Hercog P.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Jakupovic D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw