Marina Bassols Ribera vs Anna Lena FriedsamKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#144WTA
1610ELO
1593Clay ELO
26 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLLWWWW
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
#221WTA
1571ELO
1534Clay ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWLWLW
Bassols Ribera M.
vs
Friedsam A.

Marina Bassols Ribera faces Anna Lena Friedsam in the Kitzbuhel round of 32 on clay. Marina Bassols Ribera holds the paper edge — ranked #144, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC
Bassols Ribera M.57%
Friedsam A.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.7+58 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1534
5.3Overall Elo 1610
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1571
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
39%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Even
3.7
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bassols Ribera M.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Friedsam A.

Friedsam A.serving38% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Bassols Ribera M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
57
Break points saved·Dominant
27
77
Break points won·Dominant
89
58
Deciding sets·Slight edge
58
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
13
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
100

Bassols Ribera M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Friedsam A.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
23°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.