Maria Lourdes Carle vs Kathinka Von Deichmann — Kitzbuhel Round of 32
Carle M.Maria Lourdes Carle faces Kathinka Von Deichmann in the Kitzbuhel round of 32 on clay. Maria Lourdes Carle holds the paper edge — ranked #232, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Carle M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Maria Lourdes Carle rising, Kathinka Von Deichmann cooling.
- Surface form: Maria Lourdes Carle 4 of 8, Kathinka Von Deichmann 3 of 8 on clay recently — Maria Lourdes Carle the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadCarle M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.