Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Darya AstakhovaRome Round of 32

Rome · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#215WTA
1543ELO
1513Clay ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 13 July 2026 ·
clay
#233WTA
1511ELO
1505Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Rinaldo Persson K.
3-6 1-6
Astakhova D.
Rinaldo Persson K.
310
Astakhova D.
662

Darya Astakhova defeated Kajsa Rinaldo Persson in the Round of 32 at the Rome tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 6-1. Astakhova served one ace and committed one double fault, while Persson had no aces and one double fault. Astakhova converted 71% of her break points and won five service breaks to Persson's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
48%
51%
Break points saved·Even
52%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.3
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Rinaldo Persson K.63%
Astakhova D.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Rinaldo Persson K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+7 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1505
5.4Overall Elo 1543
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1511
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
76

Rinaldo Persson K.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Astakhova D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw