Mayar Sherif vs Jeline Vandromme — Contrexeville Final
Sherif M.
Mayar Sherif faces Jeline Vandromme in the Contrexeville final on clay. Mayar Sherif holds the paper edge — ranked #109, a roughly 170-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Sherif M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Mayar Sherif edged Leolia Jeanjean in two tight sets (7–5 7–6).
- Win streak: Both arrive on four-match winning runs.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 4 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadSherif M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d) · Vandromme J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.