Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mary StoianaNewport Quarter-final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#105WTA
1696ELO
1592Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 10 July 2026 ·
grass
#130WTA
1656ELO
1598Grass ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWWW
Sawangkaew M.
3-6 6-2 7-5
Stoiana M.
Sawangkaew M.
3672
Stoiana M.
6251

Mananchaya Sawangkaew defeated Mary Stoiana in the quarterfinals of the Newport grass tournament, 3-6, 6-2, 7-5. Sawangkaew hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, while Stoiana had 2 aces and 5 double faults. Both players converted 3 service breaks, with Sawangkaew winning 68% of her first-serve points and Stoiana winning 64%.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-24WimbledonSFgrassMananchaya Sawangkaew2-6 6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Sawangkaew M.62%
Stoiana M.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sawangkaew M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1592
Surface ELO
5.1+6 Grass Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1656
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
7.57 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
93

Sawangkaew M.: played today · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Stoiana M.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw