Alexis Galarneau vs Daniel MilavskyNewport Quarter-final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#185ATP
1593ELO
1538Grass ELO
$177kYTD
$837kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 10 July 2026 ·
grass
#310ATP
1349ELO
1355Grass ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
Galarneau A.
6-3 6-2
Milavsky D.
Galarneau A.
662
Milavsky D.
320

Alexis Galarneau defeated Daniel Milavsky 6-3, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the Newport grass-court tournament. Galarneau hit 7 aces to Milavsky's 3 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Milavsky's 20%. Galarneau won 74% of his first-serve points and broke Milavsky's serve four times to secure the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
58%
76%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
8.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Galarneau A.91%
Milavsky D.9%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Galarneau A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.3+183 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Grass Elo 1355
8.1Overall Elo 1593
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1348
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.07 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.44 of last 5 on grass
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
67

Galarneau A.: 16 days rest · Milavsky D.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw