Greet Minnen vs Madison BrengleNewport Quarter-final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#178WTA
1723ELO
1678Grass ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 10 July 2026 ·
grass
#211WTA
1575ELO
1489Grass ELO
36 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Minnen G.
7-5 6-0
Brengle M.
Minnen G.
762
Brengle M.
500

Greet Minnen defeated Madison Brengle 7-5, 6-0 in the quarterfinals of the Newport grass tournament. Minnen hit 4 aces and 1 double fault, winning 76% of her first serves and converting 67% of break points. She won 6 service breaks to Brengle's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
64%
79%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
67%
54%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Break points saved·Even
51%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
0.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
29
8
Break points saved·Clear edge
13
1
Break points won·Even
88
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
1
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
18
24

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Minnen G.72%
Brengle M.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Minnen G. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.4+189 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Grass Elo 1489
6.8Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1575
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.85 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Minnen G.: 21 days rest · Brengle M.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw