Greet Minnen vs Katie VolynetsNewport Semi-final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#205WTA
1723ELO
1678Grass ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWLWWWL
Sets
Saturday, 11 July 2026 ·
grass
#101WTA
1786ELO
1648Grass ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWLWWW
Minnen G.
vs
Volynets K.

Greet Minnen faces Katie Volynets in the Newport semi-final on grass. Katie Volynets holds the paper edge — ranked #101. Recent grass form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:20 UTC
Minnen G.40%
Volynets K.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Volynets K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+30 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Grass Elo 1648
4.5Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1786
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.47 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

23 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
65%
77%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Break points saved·Even
52%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Minnen G.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Volynets K.

Volynets K.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Minnen G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
65
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
75
Break points won·Slight edge
90
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
85
67
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
66
74

Minnen G.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Volynets K.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
28°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 42%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.