Arthur Gea vs Tristan SchoolkateNewport Round of 16

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#85ATP
1597ELO
1505Grass ELO
$359kYTD
$611kCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
grass
#188ATP
1549ELO
1533Grass ELO
$250kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWLW
Gea A.
4-6 7-6 7-5
Schoolkate T.
Gea A.
4772
Schoolkate T.
6651

Arthur Gea advanced to the quarterfinals at Newport with a three-set win over Tristan Schoolkate, 4-6, 7-6, 7-5. The match saw both players convert 45% of break points and achieve five service breaks apiece. Gea hit three aces to Schoolkate's seven and committed five double faults to Schoolkate's six.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.1
7.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
38
46
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
90
Break points won·Dominant
27
0
Deciding sets·Dominant
26
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Gea A.46%
Schoolkate T.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1505
Surface ELO
5.3+28 Grass Elo edge
5.6Overall Elo 1596
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1549
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.74 of last 7 on grass
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
48

Gea A.: 17 days rest · Schoolkate T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 136 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw