Arthur Gea vs Adam WaltonNewport Quarter-final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#85ATP
1597ELO
1505Grass ELO
$359kYTD
$611kCAREER
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 10 July 2026 ·
grass
#98ATP
1703ELO
1565Grass ELO
$531kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWL
Gea A.
4-6 4-6
Walton A.
Gea A.
440
Walton A.
662

Adam Walton defeated Arthur Gea 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the Newport grass-court tournament. Walton served 5 aces to Gea's 6, but made only 1 double fault to Gea's 6; he also won 75 percent of his first-serve points to Gea's 61 percent. Walton converted 42 percent of his break points and secured 5 service breaks to Gea's 3.

Key context

  • Match story: Adam Walton edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.1
6.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
38
40
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
92
Break points won·Clear edge
27
8
Deciding sets·Dominant
26
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
85
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Gea A.16%
Walton A.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Walton A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.2Grass Elo 1505
Surface ELO
5.8+60 Grass Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1596
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1703
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.55 of last 8 on grass
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
69

Gea A.: 18 days rest · Walton A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw