Federico Agustin Gomez vs Henry Bernet — Trieste Round of 16
Gomez F.
Federico Agustin Gomez faces Henry Bernet in the Trieste round of 16 on clay. Federico Agustin Gomez is the paper favourite — ranked #212, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage — but Henry Bernet rides a 3-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Gomez F. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Federico Agustin Gomez 17 games in 14 days, Henry Bernet 32.
- Form trend: Henry Bernet's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Federico Agustin Gomez's has cooled.
- Last match: Henry Bernet dropped the opening set before beating Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 6–7 6–4 6–3.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.