Vilius Gaubas vs Facundo Diaz Acosta — Braunschweig Round of 16
Gaubas V.
Vilius Gaubas faces Facundo Diaz Acosta in the Braunschweig round of 16 on clay. Facundo Diaz Acosta holds the paper edge — ranked #120, a roughly 130-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Diaz Acosta F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Vilius Gaubas 105 games in 14 days, Facundo Diaz Acosta 113.
- Surface form: Vilius Gaubas 1 of 6, Facundo Diaz Acosta 6 of 6 on clay recently — Facundo Diaz Acosta the sharper of late.
- Win streak: Facundo Diaz Acosta arrives on a 6-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGaubas V.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Diaz Acosta F.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 113 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.