Lucrezia Stefanini vs Carol Zhao — Newport Round of 32
Stefanini L.
Lucrezia Stefanini defeated Carol Zhao 6-3, 6-1 in the Round of 32 at the Newport grass tournament. Stefanini and Zhao were tied at zero aces and double faults, and both had a first-serve win percentage of 66. Stefanini converted 40% of her break points and won six service breaks, compared to Zhao's two service breaks and 25% break point conversion rate.
Key context
- Match story: Lucrezia Stefanini dropped just 4 games past Carol Zhao.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Stefanini L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadStefanini L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Zhao C.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About