Sandro Kopp vs Manas DhamneLiege Round of 16

Liege · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#293ATP
1437ELO
1428Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWLWLW
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
#386ATP
1399ELO
1354Clay ELO
18 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLLLWW
Kopp S.
vs
Dhamne M.

Sandro Kopp faces Manas Dhamne in the Liege round of 16 on clay. Sandro Kopp holds the paper edge — ranked #293, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC
Kopp S.53%
Dhamne M.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+74 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1354
5.5Overall Elo 1437
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1399
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Kopp S.Stable
Dhamne M.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

21 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kopp S.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Dhamne M.

Dhamne M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kopp S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
71

Kopp S.: 10 days rest · 5 matches (14d) · Dhamne M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
20°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 65%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.