Manas Dhamne vs Miguel Damas — Liege Quarter-final

Liege · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final

IND

Manas Dhamne

#386ATP

1399ELO

1354Clay ELO

18 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLLLLLLW

—

Sets

Friday, 10 July 2026 · 11:00

clay

ESP

Miguel Damas

#280ATP

1398ELO

1370Clay ELO

26 yrs · 208 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLLLWLLL

Dhamne M.

Damas M.

Manas Dhamne faces Miguel Damas in the Liege quarter-final on clay. Miguel Damas holds the paper edge — ranked #280, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC

Dhamne M.56%

Damas M.44%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Manas Dhamne comes in with 2 days of rest and 55 games in 14d, vs Miguel Damas's 2 and 35.
Last match: Manas Dhamne won all two sets in tiebreaks against Sandro Kopp.
Surface form: Both 3 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Dhamne M.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Damas M.

6.1

Even matchUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.8Clay Elo 1354

Surface ELO

5.2+16 Clay Elo edge

5.0Overall Elo 1399

ELO gap

5.0Overall Elo 1398

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.63 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

3.73 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Dhamne M.Cooling

Damas M.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season

Dhamne M.Damas M.

1st serve in·Even

61%

62%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

65%

60%

2nd serve points won·Even

52%

50%

Service points won·Even

60%

56%

Return points won·Even

39%

43%

Break points saved·Even

50%

53%

Aces / match·Slight edge

1.8

1.2

Double faults / match·Even

2.6

2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Dhamne M.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Damas M.

Damas M.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Dhamne M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Dhamne M.Damas M.

Freshness·Slight edge

Dhamne M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Damas M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

23°COvercast

Wind 7 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.