Andrea Pellegrino vs Raul Brancaccio — Trieste Round of 16
Pellegrino A.Andrea Pellegrino faces Raul Brancaccio in the Trieste round of 16 on clay. Andrea Pellegrino holds the paper edge — ranked #133, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Pellegrino A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Andrea Pellegrino comes in with 13 days of rest and 15 games in 14d, vs Raul Brancaccio's 1 and 62.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Andrea Pellegrino has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 55 vs 12).
- Head-to-head: Andrea Pellegrino leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Rome Masters 2023.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPellegrino A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Brancaccio R.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
5th on COURT 4 · not before Not Before 8:00 PM · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 2Neumayer L. v Justo G.
- 5Pellegrino A. v Brancaccio R.This match
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Q1 | clay | Andrea Pellegrino | 6-3 0-6 6-3 |