Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Luka PavlovicIasi Round of 32

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#231ATP
1468ELO
1404Clay ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 5 · 4th on
#207ATP
1510ELO
1467Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLL
Ferreira Silva F.
6-2 3-6 4-6
Pavlovic L.
Ferreira Silva F.
6341
Pavlovic L.
2662

Luka Pavlovic defeated Frederico Ferreira Silva in the Round of 32 of the Iasi tournament on clay, coming back from a set down to win 2-6, 6-3, 6-4. Pavlovic hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, while Ferreira Silva had 0 aces and 2 double faults. The two players converted an equal number of service breaks, 3 each, but Pavlovic won a higher percentage of first-serve points, 73 to 61.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
66%
54%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
65%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.6
10.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
34
60
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
93
Break points won·Even
26
24
Deciding sets·Clear edge
56
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Ferreira Silva F.53%
Pavlovic L.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+16 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1400
5.5Overall Elo 1479
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1441
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.52 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
88

Ferreira Silva F.: 20 days rest · Pavlovic L.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw