Titouan Droguet vs Luka Pavlovic — Iasi Round of 16
Droguet T.Titouan Droguet faces Luka Pavlovic in the Iasi round of 16 on clay. Titouan Droguet holds the paper edge — ranked #116, a roughly 210-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Droguet T. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Titouan Droguet comes in with 7 days of rest and 25 games in 14d, vs Luka Pavlovic's 5 and 73.
- Last match: Luka Pavlovic dropped the opening set before beating Frederico Ferreira Silva 2–6 6–3 6–4.
- Last match: Titouan Droguet edged Mathys Erhard in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDroguet T.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Pavlovic L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.