Sinja Kraus vs Claire Liu — Bastad Round of 32

Bastad · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Sinja Kraus
AUT5
Sinja Kraus
#85WTA
1736ELO
1696Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
Claire Liu
USA
Claire Liu
#114WTA
1669ELO
1623Clay ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Kraus S.
7-5 6-0
Liu C.
Kraus S.
762
Liu C.
500

Sinja Kraus defeated Claire Liu in the Round of 32 at Bastad, winning 7-5, 6-0 on clay. Kraus did not hit an ace and made one double fault, while Liu also had no aces and three double faults. Kraus converted 33% of her break points and broke Liu's serve three times, compared to Liu's one service break.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-13CincinnatiQ32hardSinja Kraus6-4 6-3

Statistics

This season
Kraus S.Liu C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (57 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kraus S.Liu C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
29
Break points saved·Clear edge
43
23
Break points won·Clear edge
97
76
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
34
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
31
39

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Kraus S.67%
Liu C.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kraus S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kraus S.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Liu C.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.0+79 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Clay Elo 1586
5.7Overall Elo 1698
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1640
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kraus S.Liu C.
Freshness·Slight edge
87
92

Kraus S.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d) · Liu C.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw