Andrea Pellegrino vs Max Alcala GurriTrieste Round of 32

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#135ATP
1674ELO
1654Clay ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#176ATP
1581ELO
1564Clay ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLL
Pellegrino A.
6-3 6-4
Alcala Gurri M.
Pellegrino A.
662
Alcala Gurri M.
340

Andrea Pellegrino defeated Max Alcala Gurri in the Round of 32 of the Trieste tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 6-4. Pellegrino hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, while converting 67% of his break points and winning 74% of his first-serve points. He secured 2 service breaks to Gurri's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
0.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Pellegrino A.55%
Alcala Gurri M.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+61 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1568
5.8Overall Elo 1646
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1584
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
97

Pellegrino A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Alcala Gurri M.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw