Daniil Glinka vs Bu YunchaoketeNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#168ATP
1477ELO
1433Grass ELO
$127kYTD
$264kCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLLLLWLWL
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
grass
CENTER COURT 2 · 3rd on
1709ELO
1638Grass ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWWW
Glinka D.
vs
Yunchaokete B.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC
Glinka D.7%
Yunchaokete B.93%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Yunchaokete B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Grass Elo 1433
Surface ELO
7.6+205 Grass Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1477
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1709
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
8.59 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Hard → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

30 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
58%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
6.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Glinka D.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Yunchaokete B.

Yunchaokete B.serving91% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Glinka D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
23
36
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
97
Break points won·Clear edge
9
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
7
38
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
94

Glinka D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 67 games (7d) · Yunchaokete B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on CENTER COURT 2 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Ilagan A. v Rybakov A.
  2. 3Glinka D. v Yunchaokete B.This match
  3. 4Holmgren A. v Schoolkate T.

Conditions

Weather forecast
21°CDrizzle
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 93%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final