Daniel Rincon vs Tom GentzschBraunschweig Round of 32

Braunschweig · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#206ATP
1522ELO
1469Clay ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
TENZER CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#145ATP
1565ELO
1540Clay ELO
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
Rincon D.
6-4 6-4
Gentzsch T.
Rincon D.
662
Gentzsch T.
440

Daniel Rincon defeated Tom Gentzsch 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 32 of the Braunschweig clay tournament. Rincon hit 4 aces and 1 double fault, while Gentzsch had 0 aces and 3 double faults. Rincon converted 29% of his break points and won 2 service breaks to advance.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniel Rincon edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-21M15 Alkmaar 1R32clayDaniel Rincon6-2 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
54%
68%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
5.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Rincon D.43%
Gentzsch T.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1469
Surface ELO
5.3+26 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1521
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1529
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.26 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
93

Rincon D.: 16 days rest · Gentzsch T.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 24 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw