Daniel Rincon vs Tom Gentzsch — Braunschweig Round of 32
Rincon D.
Daniel Rincon faces Tom Gentzsch in the Braunschweig round of 32 on clay. Tom Gentzsch is the paper favourite — ranked #216, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage — but Daniel Rincon arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay to Tom Gentzsch's 2.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Daniel Rincon 96 games in 14 days, Tom Gentzsch 38.
- Surface form: Daniel Rincon 3 of 5, Tom Gentzsch 2 of 5 on clay recently — Daniel Rincon the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadRincon D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 96 games (7d) · Gentzsch T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.