Titouan Droguet vs Mathys ErhardIasi Round of 32

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#111ATP
1717ELO
1681Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 5 · 3rd on
#337ATP
1382ELO
1351Clay ELO
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWW
Droguet T.
7-6 6-4
Erhard M.
Droguet T.
762
Erhard M.
640

Titouan Droguet defeated Mathys Erhard in the Round of 32 of the Iasi tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 6-4. Droguet hit 3 aces and 3 double faults, while Erhard had 0 aces and 1 double fault. Droguet converted 38% of break points and won 3 service breaks to Erhard's 2.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-16M25 Grasse 1QFclayTitouan Droguet6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
4.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
64
23
Break points saved·Clear edge
88
73
Break points won·Even
17
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
37
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Droguet T.82%
Erhard M.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Droguet T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
9.1+325 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.9Clay Elo 1356
9.2Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
0.8Overall Elo 1385
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
93

Droguet T.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Erhard M.: 12 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw