Federico Bondioli vs Joel SchwaerzlerTrieste Round of 32

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#290ATP
1387ELO
1378Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 4 · 5th on
#185ATP
1577ELO
1537Clay ELO
$102kYTD
$301kCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLW
Bondioli F.
3-6 6-3 7-5
Schwaerzler J.
Bondioli F.
3672
Schwaerzler J.
6351

Federico Bondioli defeated Joel Schwaerzler in the Round of 32 of the Trieste clay tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 in favor of Bondioli. Bondioli hit 8 aces and 2 double faults, while Schwaerzler had 4 aces and 0 double faults; Bondioli won 72% of first-serve points and converted 50% of break points, compared to 58% and 40% for Schwaerzler, with Bondioli securing 5 service breaks to Schwaerzler's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
59%
71%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
7.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Bondioli F.21%
Schwaerzler J.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Schwaerzler J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1383
Surface ELO
6.9+153 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1396
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1570
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
78
92

Bondioli F.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d) · Schwaerzler J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw