Amandine Monnot vs Maria Sara Popa — Contrexeville Qualifying Final
Monnot A.
Amandine Monnot faces Maria Sara Popa in the Contrexeville qualifying final on clay. Amandine Monnot is the paper favourite — ranked #318, a roughly 50-point clay Elo advantage — but Maria Sara Popa arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 8 on clay to Amandine Monnot's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Monnot A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Maria Sara Popa rising, Amandine Monnot cooling.
- Surface form: Amandine Monnot 4 of 8, Maria Sara Popa 5 of 8 on clay recently — Maria Sara Popa the sharper of late.
- Win streak: Maria Sara Popa arrives on a 3-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
When it starts
1st on COURT 1 · not before Starting at 11:00 AM · up next on court
- 1Monnot A. v Popa M.This match
- 2Grabher J. v Masarova R.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.