Sumit Nagal vs Matej Dodig — Trieste Round of 32
Trieste · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
CRO6#251ATP
1461ELO
1430Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
Nagal S.2-6 4-6
Dodig M.
Nagal S.
240
Dodig M.
662
Matej Dodig defeated Sumit Nagal in the Round of 32 of the Trieste tournament on clay, winning 6-2, 6-4. Dodig hit 8 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Nagal had 2 aces and 1 double fault. Dodig converted 75% of his break points and won 3 service breaks to Nagal's 0.
Key context
- Match story: Matej Dodig dropped just 6 games past Sumit Nagal.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
1.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTCNagal S.52%
Dodig M.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
5.6+47 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO4.4Clay Elo 1429
5.4Overall Elo 1485
ELO gap4.6Overall Elo 1456
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form3.23 of last 10 on clay
9.05-match win streak
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 39%