Sergey Fomin vs Manas Dhamne — Liege Round of 32

Liege · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Sergey Fomin
UZB
Sergey Fomin
#299ATP
1435ELO
1432Clay ELO
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWLLLL
—
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
IND
Manas Dhamne
#386ATP
1436ELO
1393Clay ELO
18 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLWWL
Fomin S.
vs
Dhamne M.

Sergey Fomin faces Manas Dhamne in the Liege round of 32 on clay. Sergey Fomin holds the paper edge — ranked #299, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC
Fomin S.51%
Dhamne M.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Surface form: Sergey Fomin 2 of 8, Manas Dhamne 1 of 8 on clay recently — Sergey Fomin the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Fomin S.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Dhamne M.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+39 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Clay Elo 1393
5.0Overall Elo 1435
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1436
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.52 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Fomin S.Stable
Dhamne M.Cooling

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
Fomin S.Dhamne M.
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
54%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Fomin S.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Dhamne M.

Dhamne M.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Fomin S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Fomin S.Dhamne M.
Freshness·Even
84
88

Fomin S.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Dhamne M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 38%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.