Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Hernan Casanova — Quito Final
ARG7
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won the Quito final, defeating Hernan Casanova 5-7, 6-3, 6-2. Pucinelli De Almeida hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 62% of first serves and converting 44% of break points. He earned 7 service breaks to Casanova's 5.
Key context
- Match story: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida dropped the opening set before beating Hernan Casanova 5–7 6–3 6–2.
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | M25 Punta del Este 1 | R16 | clay | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2021-06-06 | M15 Sarajevo 1 | F | clay | Hernan Casanova | 6-2 6-0 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadPucinelli De Almeida M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Casanova H.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About