Hernan Casanova vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaConcepcion CH Round of 32

Concepcion CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#337ATP
1393ELO
1381Clay ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 January 2023
clay
#294ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Casanova H.
6-7 6-1 7-6
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Casanova H.
646772
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
771651

Hernan Casanova defeated Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 6-7 6-1 7-6 in the Concepcion CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida came in ranked #294, defending last year's quarter-final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Casanova H.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Pucinelli De Almeida M.

wins 54% of points on serve vs Casanova H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.5
1.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (115 vs 151). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
8
5
Break points saved·Clear edge
24
36
Break points won·Clear edge
22
43
Deciding sets·Clear edge
32
11
Tiebreaks·Dominant
34
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3Clay Elo 1381
Surface ELO
4.7+23 Clay Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1393
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1412
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
4.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
70
65

Casanova H.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d) · Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast