Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez — Quito Quarter-final
Meligeni Alves F.
Felipe Meligeni Alves faces Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez in the Quito quarter-final on clay. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez holds the paper edge — ranked #338. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Felipe Meligeni Alves 61 games in 14 days, Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 30.
- Under pressure: Felipe Meligeni Alves has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 48 vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's 16).
- Last match: Felipe Meligeni Alves dropped just 6 games past Valerio Aboian.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadMeligeni Alves F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 31 games (7d) · Pacheco Mendez R.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.