Eva Lys vs Emma Navarro — Bad Homburg Round of 32

Bad Homburg · WTA · Round of 32
Eva Lys
GERWC
Eva Lys
#85WTA
1791ELO
1615Grass ELO
24 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
grass
Emma Navarro
USA
Emma Navarro
#26WTA
1866ELO
1774Grass ELO
$922kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLLW
Lys E.
6-7 3-6
Navarro E.
Lys E.
630
Navarro E.
762

Emma Navarro defeated Eva Lys in the Round of 32 at Bad Homburg, winning 7-6, 6-3 on grass. Navarro served 12 aces to Lys's 4 and had a higher first-serve win percentage, 88 to 68. Navarro converted 25% of break points, while Lys converted 100%, but Navarro won two service breaks to Lys's one.

Around the match

  • “This heat wave makes professional tennis a questionable life decision.”

    Lys E.Echo Online ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Emma Navarro closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Lys E.Navarro E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
55%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
49%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
45%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.3
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Lys E.Navarro E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
49
76
Break points saved·Dominant
9
53
Break points won·Even
96
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
89
Tiebreaks·
—
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Lys E.37%
Navarro E.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Navarro E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lys E.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Navarro E.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Grass Elo 1486
Surface ELO
6.4+112 Grass Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1661
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1745
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Lys E.Navarro E.
Freshness·Slight edge
84
89

Lys E.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Navarro E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw