Michele Ribecai vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva — Poznan Quarter-final
Ribecai M.
Michele Ribecai faces Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva in the Poznan quarter-final on clay. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva holds the paper edge — ranked #237, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Reis Da Silva J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Michele Ribecai comes in with 1 days of rest and 48 games in 14d, vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva's 1 and 92.
- Last match: Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva handed Martin Krumich a second-set bagel in a 7–5 6–0 win.
- Surface form: Michele Ribecai 4 of 10, Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 5 of 10 on clay recently — Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadRibecai M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Reis Da Silva J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.