Michele Ribecai vs Facundo Diaz Acosta — Poznan Semi-final
Ribecai M.
Michele Ribecai faces Facundo Diaz Acosta in the Poznan semi-final on clay. Facundo Diaz Acosta holds the paper edge — ranked #127, a roughly 360-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Diaz Acosta F. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Michele Ribecai comes in with 1 days of rest and 69 games in 14d, vs Facundo Diaz Acosta's 1 and 41.
- Last match: Michele Ribecai handed Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva a second-set bagel in a 6–4 6–0 win.
- Surface form: Michele Ribecai 5 of 10, Facundo Diaz Acosta 7 of 10 on clay recently — Facundo Diaz Acosta the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadRibecai M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Diaz Acosta F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.